Busted: Bankers and The Global Economy

July 31, 2011

Realities Behind the U.S. Debt Crisis

While incompetent and corrupt politics continues to announce a huge divide between sides, the real truth is that Americans have been deceived. The last election proved how little difference exists between moderates on either side, and that is what politics in the United States plays to. Despite the rhetoric in debt crisis debate, there are few meaningful differences in the plans that are being voted on.

Both bills have been estimated to reduce the national budget deficit by around $900 billion over the next 10 years, which is small change in a nation that is overspending by 50%. $750 billion is linked to actual decisions to cut spending. The remaining savings are another accounting gimmick, a projected reduction in interest payments on the national debt because of the proposed budget cuts. $70 billion of the “huge savings” will be applied to 2012 and 2013. As usual, deciding to do anything meaningful always points off somewhere in the distant future. $70 billion is small potatoes for a large economy that continually overspends by increasing margins.

The real issue resides in the fact that the nation has an unstable fiat currency that has been losing its purchasing power for decades. Today, the well is virtually dry, which could easily result in the collapse of the dollar as international currency. This makes the reality of planning ahead a mere mental exercise instead of meaningful in any way. What is worse is that all this fancy accounting is dependent on an unrealistic gross national product of 4.86%. As a result, this budgeting is an exercise in smoke and mirrors.

If you live in the United States, you’ve probably heard the grim news. National GDP growth for the first quarter of 2011 was just revised down yesterday by 81% from 1.91% to 0.36%. Never mind that 1.91% is paltry growth anyway. Second quarter estimates for the nation look even worse as the Federal Reserve prints more fiat dollars than ever before. Printing greenbacks doesn’t create economic growth or employment.

As the Federal Government wriggles in credit agony, the Treasury had $51.6 billion available for discretionary spending. The U.S. Treasury expects to bring in $172.4 billion from August 3rd through August 31st in tax receipts, while being scheduled to pay out $306.7 billion. This means a projected deficit of $134.3 billion. The Federal Government is scheduled to make its interest payment of $30 billion on the national debt on August 15th. They are now on track to spend a record $514.5 billion this year on interest payments alone. The nation faces an increase of the interest rate because of a likelihood of a credit downgrade, which would destroy any deficit reductions proposed by national politicians.

The Treasury has been able to pay bills in recent weeks by using accounting gimmicks, but that has come to an end in a few days. The Federal Government is in a real pickle without more fiat money printed by the Federal Reserve. Prioritizing incoming tax receipts of an expected $174.2 billion is essential, which will include the $30 billion interest payment on August 15th to avoid default.

The immediate obligations to the populace in August are $49.2 billion in Social Security, $50 billion in Medicare and Medicaid, topped by $12.8 billion in unemployment benefits. $23 billion of $49.2 billion in Social Security payments are due to be paid on August 3rd. $59 billion in treasury bills are due on August 4th to pay back investors. This says nothing of $31.7 billion in defense payments to pay soldiers and the like.

As a U.S. debt default and credit shortage looms, investors continue (so far) to invest in Treasury Bonds as a safe haven, which would be worthless in the event of a national default. All of this assumes, of course, that they don’t rewrite all the rules because of the need to save the international economy. I’m surprised that they haven’t already taken over the ‘renegade’ credit agencies in the name of national security so that the world can continue to ride the dollar bubble.

After all the politics, interest rates are likely to be propelled rapidly upward, resulting in obvious hyperinflation that cannot be quietly manipulated or explained away. The world is flooded with American greenbacks, thanks in no small part to the uninspired management of Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve. As a result, the Federal Reserve is likely to be the only buyer for U.S. debt. How long will that last as it is?

June 20, 2011

Bernanke to Invent New Term for Printing Money

Filed under: banking, central bank, corporatism, economy, federal reserve, government, inflation, money — digitaleconomy @ 10:27 am

When the U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) reported their latest consumer price index (CPI) inflation data last week, everybody in the mainstream media worked tirelessly to spin the data in order to proclaim that U.S. price inflation is not a problem. It’s been that way for some time now. Most articles in the media reported that inflation slowed in May due to falling gas prices. The truth is, gas prices rose last month and U.S. price inflation is spiraling out of control.

Price inflation based on the CPI on a year-over-year basis rose during the month of May to 3.57%, up from 3.16% in April, 2.68% in March, 2.11% in February, 1.63% in January, 1.5% in December, and 1.1% in November. The official rate of price inflation has more than tripled over the past 6 months. Yes, maybe the rate of year-over-year price inflation rose by slightly less in May over April, than it did in April over March, but this isn’t good news at all. This U.S. dollar is still rapidly losing its purchasing power and the rate at which it is declining in purchasing power is accelerating.

On an unadjusted basis, gas prices rose 3.6% in the month of May. The media is reporting gas prices based on the BLS’s seasonal adjustments. Only with the BLS’s deceptive seasonal adjustments did gas prices decline by 2% in the month of May. The BLS’s seasonal adjustments will actually reverse starting in the month of July and add to reported gasoline prices. NIA predicts that come August when the BLS releases its July CPI report, the media will begin focusing on unadjusted gasoline prices because the unadjusted gain will be less than the adjusted one. The media always reports the data that supports their agenda and ignores the data that works against it.

The media is obviously just saying what the U.S. government wants them to say. Larry Summers, a Keynesian economist who served for 5 years last decade as President of Harvard and was up until late-2010 director of President Obama’s White House National Economic Council, just said last week that, “the underlying rate of inflation is still trending downwards”. The media’s favorite economist Paul Krugman, a Keynesian who has an op-ed column in the New York Times, said last week that, “There’s really nothing here to shake my view that deflation, not inflation, is the threat.”

Krugman, who has been calling for massive price deflation the whole entire time that NIA has been predicting massive price inflation, is refusing to admit he has been wrong and is telling all Americans to ignore rapidly rising food and energy prices because he claims they are too volatile. He is telling the world to focus solely on the core CPI, which ignores food and energy, the two items that Americans need most to live and survive. Core CPI is weighed heavily by rents and America’s Real Estate bubble still isn’t finished deflating. The only purpose of having a core CPI  is to use it to mislead Americans and deceive them into believing that inflation is not a problem.

nixon greenspanCore CPI was an invention of the Nixon administration, which right there should tell you all you need to know about it. President Nixon’s idea for creating core CPI, was to deceive Americans about price inflation by excluding the items that were rising the most, which he would justify by calling these items “too volatile”. NIA has predicted from the very beginning that inflation will not effect all goods and services equally and that as inflation begins to spiral out of control, inflation would gravitate most towards the prices of the items that Americans need the most, and there is nothing that Americans need more than food and agricultural products, and to a lesser extent energy.

Whenever the mainstream media reports about global inflation and they show a map of the world, the map always shows massive inflation in Middle Eastern and Asian countries, with the U.S. having the least price inflation. The truth is, inflation in Middle Eastern and Asian countries isn’t many times worse than the U.S., it is just that their governments are many times more honest and aren’t as advanced in manipulating economic statistics as our government is. While all of the headlines from major American news organizations about U.S. inflation said last week that inflation is slowing and not a problem, those same news organizations wrote articles about Chinese inflation being at a new 34-month high of 5.5%. The fact is, official U.S. price inflation is also at its highest level in nearly three years and our real price inflation rate is actually higher than China’s reported rate of price inflation.

Based on the BLS’s CPI, year-over-year U.S. price inflation in the month of May of 3.57% was the highest year-over-year price inflation rate since October of 2008, right before the global financial crisis. If it wasn’t for the global financial crisis of late-2008/early-2009 and the world’s mistake of liquidating real assets and hoarding fiat U.S. dollars as a safe haven, it is likely that the official rate of U.S. price inflation would already be in the double-digits today. NIA estimates the real rate of U.S. price inflation, minus geometric weighting and hedonics, to currently be approximately 7.5% on a year-over-year basis. It is possible that the real U.S. price inflation rate will reach double digits in the second half of 2011. That will be devastating to the U.S. economy because at that point it will just about guarantee that the Federal Reserve will have to raise the federal funds rate to north of 10% by the middle of this decade.

The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet just reached a brand new record of $2.832 trillion, up from $2.815 trillion in the prior week, as we approach the end of QE2 at the end of June. The stock market is already anticipating the end of QE2 with the Dow Jones currently down over 900 points from its high at the end of April. The declining stock market is pretty much sowing the seeds for a QE3. After all, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke doesn’t want to see the phony U.S. economic recovery blow up in smoke.

Bernanke will do everything possible to disguise QE3 and will never admit to there being a QE3. Remember, this is the same Federal Reserve Chairman who lied to every single American on ’60 Minutes’ when he said, “We’re not printing money.” That is exactly what QE2 is, printing money, but just like how Bernanke won’t admit to printing money, Bernanke is now going to retire the term “quantitative easing” and come up with a new term for the Fed’s latest destructive policy of creating massive monetary inflation.

May 12, 2011

Dangerous Inflation is on the Way

Filed under: economy, inflation, recession, stagflation — Tags: , , , — digitaleconomy @ 12:01 pm

I’ve written about false inflation figures for years. The U.S. government continues to pretend that Americans won’t be facing dangerous inflation by 2012. The facts show otherwise.

The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 0.7% last month. This equates to 8.4% annual wholesale inflation in America! Prices are rising much faster than wages by any means.  April wholesale inflation data reflects an ever-accelerating cost of living in 2011.

Can official government statistics be trusted? Not according to John Williams at Shadowstats.com, whose alternative inflation index shows costs rising four times higher than “official” rates. Since 1980, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has changed the way it calculates the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in order to account for the substitution of products, improvements in quality and other things.

“Near-term circumstances generally have continued to deteriorate,” says Williams. “Though not yet commonly recognized, there is both an intensifying double-dip recession and a rapidly escalating inflation problem.”

April 9, 2011

The Path to Prosperity: America’s Two Futures

Filed under: banking, corporatism, economy, federal reserve, government, inflation, money, politics, video — digitaleconomy @ 7:49 am

Congressman Ryan says that President Barack Obama’s budget strategy is to “do nothing, punt, duck, kick the can down the road” while the debt remains on track to eventually hit 800 percent of GDP. Ryan added that the CBO is saying it “can’t conceive of any way” that the economy can continue past 2037 given its current trajectory.

April 3, 2011

The World’s Greatest Ponzi Scheme

Filed under: central bank, credit, economy, government, inflation, money, recession — Tags: , , , , , , , — digitaleconomy @ 9:11 pm

house of cardsIn the month of March, the U.S. government spent more than eight times its monthly tax receipts, including money spent for maturing U.S. treasuries.

The U.S. treasury cleared $128.18 billion in tax receipts during the month of March, but paid out a total of $1.05 trillion, which included $49.8 billion in Social Security benefits, $47.4 billion in Medicare benefits, $22.58 billion in Medicaid benefits and $37.9 billion in defense spending. The real financial beating springs from maturing U.S. treasuries where the U.S. paid out $705.3 billion.

In order for the U.S. government to stay afloat with only $128.18 billion in tax receipts, it had to spend $72.5 billion from the balance of cash on hand. This closed the month at $118.1 billion, including the sales of $18 billion worth of TARP assets. Most importantly, the U.S. treasury had to sell $786.5 billion in new treasury bonds, which it will be required to mature at a still higher in the future in order to keep the shirt of its’ back. Surely this is the greatest Ponzi scheme ever executed on the world as the government endlessly seeks to outrun the debt that it creates. The nation is able to fund government expenditures and pay off maturing debt instruments by issuing new and larger amounts of debt. Up to now the Federal Reserve interest has made this debacle survivable.

At this time the interest payments on the United States national debt is the government’s largest monthly expenditure. The world is waking up to the fact that the U.S. government is truly insolvent and that the benefits of propping up the U.S. dollar will no longer be worth the expense to foreign creditors. The U.S. government Ponzi scheme is being exposed for the world to see.

China is becoming more reluctant to continue buying U.S. treasuries as it positions the yuan to be the world’s new reserve currency. Japan needs to raise $300 billion to rebuild parts of their country that were destroyed by the earthquake, tsunami, and nuclear disaster. They will be unable to invest handily in the U.S. or may opt to invest outright in China as money is available. The U.S. desperately needs Japan and the Arab world to roll over national treasuries into larger amounts of new ones. With Arab revolutions taking place across major Saudi states and the U.S. occupying Libya for no good reason at all, the nation is likely see a global disdain for its previously valued treasures that it must sell to cope with the runaway spending and deficits of Congress.

March 30, 2011

U.S. Geithner Shocks Global Markets by Supporting International Currency

Filed under: business, central bank, corporatism, economy, federal reserve, inflation, politics — digitaleconomy @ 6:49 am

devalued dollarThe plight of the dollar and recent national inflation is making the United States quite shaky for a long-term economic recovery. The powers that be haven’t helped matters. Recently, economic adviser Timothy Geithner has been suggesting that a global currency sponsored by the IMF is desirable. This earth shaking statement caused the dollar to plunge instantly against the euro, yen, and sterling as the comments flashed across trading screens. The fact that anyone of importance is considering dumbing down the dollar is causing great fear and not a little doubt. The mainstream media in the United States has tried to quiet the news by keeping it out of the news.

Barack Obama, in a prime-time press conference on March 25, had at first ignored a question about the subject and, when it was put to him responded tersely: “I don’t believe that there’s a need for a global currency.”

Mr Geithner later qualified his remarks, insisting that the dollar would remain the “world’s dominant reserve currency … for a long period of time” but the seeds of doubt have been sown.

The markets appear baffled by the confused statements emanating from Washington. President Barack Obama told a new conference hours that there is no threat to the reserve status of the dollar.

“I don’t believe that there is a need for a global currency. The reason the dollar is strong right now is because investors consider the United States the strongest economy in the world with the most stable political system in the world”

February 14, 2011

Scary Facts About Getting a Job in America

Filed under: business, economy, money, recession, stagflation — Tags: , , , , — digitaleconomy @ 12:23 pm

Business Insider published “19 Scary Facts About Getting a Job in America.”

This recession is not another run-of-the-mill post-war recession, nor is it simply what globalism looks like. The recession in the U.S.A.  is a prolonged structural unemployment caused by multinational corporations fleeing high-cost labor markets to exploit low-cost labor markets. The impacts are real and devastating:

1) If you lose your job today, there’s a 70 percent chance you won’t find a job in the next month.

2) If you’ve been unemployed for a year, there’s a 91 percent chance you won’t find a job in the next month.

3) Two million people have exhausted 99 weeks of unemployment benefits. Another four million will do so in 2011.

4) There was zero job growth in the past decade, the worst 10 years on record.

5) In the most optimistic scenarios, payrolls won’t return to 2008 levels until 2013. In that time, the population will grow by 5 percent.

6) More than one in four jobs added to the economy last year were temporary.

7) At 2000 levels of labor force participation, the unemployment rate would be 13 percent.

8) When you count the unemployed, underemployed and discouraged workers, only 47 percent of the work force is fully employed.

9) The number of workers over 55 has increased nearly 8 percent in three years. No retirement means no hiring.

10) Four out of 10 baby boomers said they will have to “work until they drop.”

11) The average length of unemployment is 22 weeks.

12) For workers over 55, the average length of unemployment is 43 weeks.

13) In one of the hardest cities to find a job, Las Vegas, there are nine applicants for every job opening.

14) No jobs crash since the Great Depression of the 1930s even compares to what’s happening now, in terms of the number of jobs lost by the economy as a whole.

15) A 1 percent increase in unemployment leads roughly to a 1 percent increase in suicides.

16) More than 3 million manufacturing jobs have been lost since 1998.

17) The number of motor vehicle manufacturing jobs will decline by 20 percent in the next decade.

18) The number of apparel manufacturing jobs will drop by 57 percent over the next decade.

19) Here is the competition: A network engineer in Bangladesh makes $6,000 a year, while a CEO earns $30,000 on the average.

The Business Insider report concluded with the following observation: “Getting a job today means going up against terrifying odds.”

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