Busted: Bankers and The Global Economy

February 23, 2009

PM Brown: New Global Economy

pm-brown-berlusconi-romeBritish Prime Minister Gordon Brown has stressed the importance of April’s G20 ‘Economic Recovery Summit’ in London in the bid to strike a “global deal” that will “speed up the recovery of the world economy”. He and other European Union members are advocating a new global financial system, but have backed off somewhat due to the reluctance of U.S. support. His recent statement in Rome revealed that all nations need to inject resources into their own economies as well as agree on ways to reform international institutions.

Currently, he is recommending new policies that he calls ‘fairness principles’ against “old excesses” in the banking community, a standard of stewardship instead of speculation. In the meantime, Brown and other European Union members are advocating unity in opposing moves towards protectionist trade policies. They see the U.S. as a major opponent where such policies are concerned.

Back in the United States, international bank holding company, Citigroup continues its precipitous decline. The U.S. government is looking at boosting its’ controlling interest in the banking firm to boost confidence and maintain solvency from toxic debt, part of the speculation that PM Gordon Brown was referring to.  Britain is dealing with similar issues relating to the Royal Bank of Scotland. ~ E. Manning

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November 24, 2008

Monetary Deflation a Current Danger

banking-gamble-2Concerns about inflation have changed to deflation, considering the sudden drops in many prices, mostly energy, and the radical increase in joblessness. Interestingly, this economic downturn has bad company in the Great Depression, with the Consumer Price Index plunging by 1 percent last month, the largest single fall since 1938. However the extent and breadth is still nowhere near the Great Depression with years of falling prices. The core economic index has declined for six months, the only time since the Second World War.
Most economists aren’t forecasting that 2009 will present persistent price declines that made the Great Depression what it was, but the fact remains that any recovery is largely determined by consumer spending which accounts for two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Barack Obama is preparing to arm his economic arsenal with a major economic stimulus that includes job creation in the expectation of overcoming recent heavy job losses this year. Gordon Brown is already doing similar things in Britain to spice up the economy there.
Meanwhile, a global slump is in process which could easily hold the world in its clutches despite attempts at stimulus. Central bankers and ministers of finance are up nights massaging interest rates, shoring up banking and creating new stimulus programs.
The worse the economy gets, the more banks are battered by loan defaults and the falling value of collateral. Credit becomes less available which further restrains consumer and business activity, grinding the economic action down more. What we have now is classic debt deflation. Debtors across the board are reducing or eliminating debt. When everyone acts at once, prices for capital assets fall precipitously, even below what concerned pundits call market value as consumers wait for better pricing.
The current risk of deflation is compounded and amplified by the global nature of the current crisis. Commodities have fallen hard and fast as investors have bailed out, comeuppance for years of abusive futures investing, albeit legalalized gambling, through investing on the global scene that many believed would never end. ~ E. Manning

November 11, 2008

Britain: New Global Order and Finance

the only thing to fear is fear itself

the only thing to fear is fear itself

History seems to be in the making. The British Prime Minister is on the forefront of digital and economic globalization that sees the current turmoil in the world economy offers a chance to build a “new global order” based on cooperation and opportunity.

Mr. Brown summarized his approach as internationalist, interventionist and progressive, an approach he believes should make the world confident for the future, making 2008 a year to be remembered not for the financial crash, but for the way in which the world “endured it and prevailed”.

pm-and-lord-mayor-banquetOnce again, the British are on the forefront of promoting a new empire of global unity as an enduring power of ideals that promotes a global society that rises to meet challenges as they arise. The Prime Minister sees financial stability as an international duty of peace and unity. He wants to use U.N. peacekeepers to enforce the peace through the reduction of weapons, both nuclear and otherwise.

He speaks of getting behind the United States to bring about a new change of global mission even though at this time, neither George Bush or Barack Obama are now speaking about this mission. Barack Obama has dropped hints. Could something be going on behind the scenes that isn’t public knowledge? This prospect seems likely.

Prime Minister Brown gives high meaning to what he sees as the new Bretton Woods accord, involving the creation of a new monetary age and a new age of international cooperation. He is promoting getting rid of old orthodoxies in exchange for building on a new global solution of prosperity through the World Bank and new measures to sustain growth. This effort seems to built around the charismatic conviction of Gordon Brown and Barack Obama. You should be paying attention. For those that are concerned with Biblical prophecy, this is a very interesting item to take note of. ~ E. Manning

November 1, 2008

Economic Drain from IMF on Prime Economies

The International Monetary Fund has been bailing out emerging and secondary economies, putting prime economies like the U.S. and Britain in line to fork over more major funding. If you thought national deficits and crisis spending were enough, now prime economies have the IMF funding of lesser nations to consider. “Hundreds of millions of dollars” are needed now to support the sagging support structure of the IMF. This is relevant and an important dragging force on prime economies. If you live in the U.S. or Europe, that probably means you.

The cooling economic climate is resulting in economies across the globe taking evasive action to the degree possible, usually using the same methods employed in the United States like lowering central bank interest rates in order to sustain their banks and encourage lending. The IMF is acting as an insurance policy to shore up foundering economies. Prime Minister Gordon Brown is recommending a better insurance system to assist distressed nations, a topic that will doubtless be near the top of the Global Financial Summit in New York City this month. Financial security is now a global watch word.

Banks globally have been racing to bolster their balance sheets after a bevy of collapses and hastily arranged mergers were prompted by heavy losses from bad mortgage and financial derivatives. In the meantime, surface signs indicate a slight lessening in the immediate stability crisis as far as the current market is concerned. The U.S. government is tiptoeing quietly as the presidential election is only days away. More bad news will likely affect the election and most possibly the results. Until then, the U.S. will try to enforce an all quiet on the economic front. Will the stock markets cooperate after a banner week? Ah, there’s the rub. ~ E. Manning

October 29, 2008

Financial Perversion Gets New Meaning

Overspending in the United States is legendary. The economy is in such a state that the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates again in the hope of somehow spurring on the banking economy by offering interest at below inflation rates.

Unlike the United States, Britain has stringent limits in place to avoid overspending. With Britain and much of the world moving into recession, the British government is feeling the pinch and the need to spend more than ever to keep stability and guarantees in place. Reuters specifies that British conservative politicians are furious. “Alistair Darling’s speech achieved the worst of both worlds. He scrapped the fiscal rules that Gordon Brown based his reputation on, but put absolutely nothing in their place.” The chancellor called sticking to the old rules “perverse.”

Prime Minister Gordon Brown mandated fiscal rules a decade ago which tame British government spending at 40 per cent of GDP. Now the United Kingdom has joined the United States on spending without limits.

Arguably, the idea of overspending by government is considered by many parties to be perverse or in the United States, unconstitutional based on founding documents. Now the reverse is true. Failure to spend when there is an overarching crisis and need is perverse. So far, British government has proved to be quite responsible. Whether this remains the case remains to be seen, despite a case of global financial influenza. How the global digital economy, the sum total and unity or all economies, fits into global summit plans will be interesting to see indeed. ~ E. Manning

October 13, 2008

Is a New Era of Economic Finance on the Way?

Britain taking charge

Britain taking charge

While many nations muddle undecisively about their part in the looming global finance crisis, Britain has increasingly taken bolder and more decisive steps in an effort to stem the tide of ruin. Now Prime Minister Gordon Brown is calling for a new financial accord to refashion banking and finance rules for the modern era. “We must now create the right new financial architecture for the global age.”

Many governments in Europe has agreed to follow Britain’s lead by recapitalizing banks and guaranteeing interbank lending. The G-8, of which Britain is a part, are in the planning stages for a meeting soon. “We must now reform the international financial system around agreed principles of transparency, integrity, responsibility, good housekeeping and co-operation across borders.”

Under the British plan, banks that are rescued with taxpayer money will be forced to cease bonuses that have encouraged excessive risk-taking in the past as well as terminating dividends to shareholders. The down side to the bank rescues is that there is currently no incentive for investment and little hope for immediate growth, both hallmarks of the “for profit” market.

While bailing out bankers will sustain the economies for the time being, the end result will be recession coupled with nasty inflation and economic stagnation in some countries if moves are not made to bolster job creation, wages and check price increases. So far, because of credit dependence, nations can expect stymied growth, triggering more defaults and a continuation of tightening lending terms. Nations have been hesitant to guarantee interbank lending because of the trust factor. The pressure is on as the global goal becomes the prevention of a global economic depression.

U.S. economic growth next year will be the weakest since 1954, with unemployment expected to rise to 8.5 percent.

Large corporations are increasingly under the economic gun. American automakers are considering mergers and General Electric is considering a bank charter to provide better funding. Bank lending remains locked down despite flooding the market with monetary credit and interest rate reductions. A continued lockdown will likely result in the depression that scrambling governments are seeking to avoid. Indications are that we are in a global vicious circle of economic decline. The alternative is breaking the cycle. Who is going to break the cycle and how?

British money manager Paul Niven remarked, “We have now entered a new era for global banking. In return for taxpayers’ money, the state will gain a level of control over their governance, pay, and lending practices.” Is Niven’s statement a reality or the work of wishful fiction?

Could the world have the beginnings of a new global banking order or is this move simply an action involving separate economic nationalization of banking and finance to preserve the current financial structure? Perhaps we will know once clearer heads rule the roost. Bible prophecy indicates a new global system that portends to usher in a new era of security. Is there any stock to that? What say you? ~ E. Manning

October 10, 2008

Dollar Rally Due to Global Inflation?

safe haven again?

safe haven again?

The U.S. dollar is once again holding its status as a safe haven because of deteriorating economic outlooks in the global economy and increases in inflation overseas. The recent adjustment in oil prices is due to the leveling effect that inflation is having on economies coupled with recent U.S. government intervention in commodities futures.

The crisis in Iceland, Britain and much of Europe and Asia has electrified the so-called G-7 Finance Ministers to meet to decide on unified actions and strategies to bolster sagging economies.  Iceland refused to stand behind their failed banking system, resulting in large losses to British depositors. Prime Minister Gordon Brown has frozen the assets of Iceland in Britain to insure that losses by British depositors are covered as much as possible. The European Central Bank has also summarized the idea that recent exchange rate imbalances are due to the current financial crisis. Globally, banks are becoming more imperiled as the system locks down due to financial fears and the unknown effect of bad securities globally.

The general consensus is that the goal of the G-7 meeting must be to promote liquidity and growth. Those kind of financial moves dilute monetary systems and boost inflation. Even so, inflation is considered as a back door issue. Today, only stability is king. ~ E. Manning

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