Busted: Bankers and The Global Economy

July 31, 2011

Realities Behind the U.S. Debt Crisis

While incompetent and corrupt politics continues to announce a huge divide between sides, the real truth is that Americans have been deceived. The last election proved how little difference exists between moderates on either side, and that is what politics in the United States plays to. Despite the rhetoric in debt crisis debate, there are few meaningful differences in the plans that are being voted on.

Both bills have been estimated to reduce the national budget deficit by around $900 billion over the next 10 years, which is small change in a nation that is overspending by 50%. $750 billion is linked to actual decisions to cut spending. The remaining savings are another accounting gimmick, a projected reduction in interest payments on the national debt because of the proposed budget cuts. $70 billion of the “huge savings” will be applied to 2012 and 2013. As usual, deciding to do anything meaningful always points off somewhere in the distant future. $70 billion is small potatoes for a large economy that continually overspends by increasing margins.

The real issue resides in the fact that the nation has an unstable fiat currency that has been losing its purchasing power for decades. Today, the well is virtually dry, which could easily result in the collapse of the dollar as international currency. This makes the reality of planning ahead a mere mental exercise instead of meaningful in any way. What is worse is that all this fancy accounting is dependent on an unrealistic gross national product of 4.86%. As a result, this budgeting is an exercise in smoke and mirrors.

If you live in the United States, you’ve probably heard the grim news. National GDP growth for the first quarter of 2011 was just revised down yesterday by 81% from 1.91% to 0.36%. Never mind that 1.91% is paltry growth anyway. Second quarter estimates for the nation look even worse as the Federal Reserve prints more fiat dollars than ever before. Printing greenbacks doesn’t create economic growth or employment.

As the Federal Government wriggles in credit agony, the Treasury had $51.6 billion available for discretionary spending. The U.S. Treasury expects to bring in $172.4 billion from August 3rd through August 31st in tax receipts, while being scheduled to pay out $306.7 billion. This means a projected deficit of $134.3 billion. The Federal Government is scheduled to make its interest payment of $30 billion on the national debt on August 15th. They are now on track to spend a record $514.5 billion this year on interest payments alone. The nation faces an increase of the interest rate because of a likelihood of a credit downgrade, which would destroy any deficit reductions proposed by national politicians.

The Treasury has been able to pay bills in recent weeks by using accounting gimmicks, but that has come to an end in a few days. The Federal Government is in a real pickle without more fiat money printed by the Federal Reserve. Prioritizing incoming tax receipts of an expected $174.2 billion is essential, which will include the $30 billion interest payment on August 15th to avoid default.

The immediate obligations to the populace in August are $49.2 billion in Social Security, $50 billion in Medicare and Medicaid, topped by $12.8 billion in unemployment benefits. $23 billion of $49.2 billion in Social Security payments are due to be paid on August 3rd. $59 billion in treasury bills are due on August 4th to pay back investors. This says nothing of $31.7 billion in defense payments to pay soldiers and the like.

As a U.S. debt default and credit shortage looms, investors continue (so far) to invest in Treasury Bonds as a safe haven, which would be worthless in the event of a national default. All of this assumes, of course, that they don’t rewrite all the rules because of the need to save the international economy. I’m surprised that they haven’t already taken over the ‘renegade’ credit agencies in the name of national security so that the world can continue to ride the dollar bubble.

After all the politics, interest rates are likely to be propelled rapidly upward, resulting in obvious hyperinflation that cannot be quietly manipulated or explained away. The world is flooded with American greenbacks, thanks in no small part to the uninspired management of Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve. As a result, the Federal Reserve is likely to be the only buyer for U.S. debt. How long will that last as it is?

October 6, 2008

Crisis Floods Global Markets

not all love bailouts

not all love bailouts

Governments and central banks around the world grasped at measures to contain the fast-spreading financial crisis today. Investor confidence reflected on global stocks. According to the media, investors have finally decided that a recession is inevitable.

The more powerful members of the EU have reacted in panic as market volatility continues. Similar events continue to unveil with bailouts in the works. Even Fortis has new ownership. In panic, central bankers are dumping billions of euros on the market, creating another global monetary inflation hazard. A few national banks throughout the EU have moved to guarantee depositor funds causing a rash of capital movement to guaranteed banks and undermining financial security for others. More European governments followed Germany’s lead offering guarantees to savers in a frantic effort to calm fears among investors over the worst financial crisis in 80 years. The big losers portend to be the shareholders of these institutions.

economic bondage

economic bondage

The British government has promised on Monday to protect citizens in the face of global financial turmoil. Investors are terrified that the government will require partial ownership in exchange for the bailout.

For more than a week, the U.S. Federal Reserve has been working to find new ownership and capital to cover to bankrupt Wachovia Bank, even issuing and quickly retracting their statements as deals have fallen through. Right now, the Fed is trying to coax Citigroup and Wells Fargo to break up the Wachovia’s assets. Even the Fed is learning to temper its enthusiasm as deals are worked out.

While none of this is especially good news on the surface, the really bad news remains the now unseen seeds planted by central bankers as they flood the market with euros or whatever monetary unit is seen as useful. This simply weakens an already weak economy and further dilutes the value of the currency, creating more inflationary pressure.

The really bad news behind all of this news is that the United States bailout success hinges so much on foreign investment from overseas. With a global crisis in the works, only the Muslim and Saudi countries are not yet reporting huge problems beyond apparent hyperinflation caused by the huge $700 billion yearly influx of greenbacks from America. They have so many devalued dollars that spending them is a challenge. Therein lies the crux of the problem. A vicious circle of events is creating a downward global spiral that cannot be readily or quickly overcome without a reinvention or substantial revision of a new monetary system, an idea that is reportedly in discussion by the International Society of Bankers (the global central banking franchises) as an easier way out of the looming crisis if events become unmanageable. ~ E. Manning

September 20, 2008

U.S. Economy: Stagflation in the Wings

The dark underbelly of arrogant and evil monetary policy been put into place today. The decision isn’t new, but is repeated constantly. This decision will affect you and everything you do from today. The news seems innocent and matter-of-fact on the surface and is reported by the media in that fashion, as if central bankers are doing all of us a favor. The reality is far from innocent or hum-drum. Central bankers are pumping billions of dollars in American greenbacks into monetary systems to “sustain the market.”

In response to financial turmoil and lack of confidence, central banks began injecting huge amounts of cash into the world financial system in an effort to make sure that firms needing monetary resources to stay afloat could actually find some. The British central bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank and the Swiss central bank: let call them the International Society of Bankers, have injected around $400 billion into the global financial system so far.

global credit

global credit

The idea behind all of this credit pumping is liquidity. This liquidity is for lending, borrowing and who knows what else. All the liquidity isn’t helping you or me directly most of the time. The liquidity is supporting the market to keep the market from tanking in a rather large way or at least to keep global business from stalling. According to central bankers, this is supposed to be good. What is the down side for all this global credit?

Remember that the stock and trade in finance today is the dollar. It is the toy that bankers use to get business done globally and the tool used to manipulate (both good and bad) global markets. As a result, the effect of the dollar on the global economy is likely to be very different from the effect on the U.S. national economy.

As an economist I could talk about M3, job statistics, the national debt or use any number of magical numbers and percentages. I could try to impress you with enormous intellect and knowledge while talking over your head. Sufficient is the fact that record numbers of jobs have gone by the wayside this year and even more jobs are being pumped out the U.S. economy by multinational corporations to promote their immediate bottom line. Sufficient is the fact that the mortgage meltdown is summarily destroying the banking, mortgage and finance system. The causes of the meltdown were designed to bolster and send the industry to new heights of profitability. Sufficient is the fact that the federal government has opted to cover, guaranteeing practically every business failure and misjudgment with credit that they don’t have from the central bankers themselves. That is reality.

A key reality is being ignored that has been previously discussed. U.S. politicians have put the gloss on the reality of our national recession by calling it a slowdown. U.S. politicians and most economists put the gloss on the reality of our national inflation rate by minimizing it with false figures and deceptive tactics. U.S. politicians and most economists don’t want to recognize what this nation has staring us in the face as a result of continual bloodletting of the dollar around the world.

That evil is stagflation. Ben Bernanke has tried to prove that we aren’t going through a 1970’s style economic situation, as if we should be looking at the 1970’s as some kind of measuring stick for today’s economic blight. He is missing the point that the building blocks of the economy are not only different, but that many of the pressures driving the forces behind the economy, now a global economy, is also very different. Comparing apples and oranges is useful only if you can agree that they are fruit, but the sameness ends there. Need I say more? The texture, flavor, nutritional value and uses are similar but different. The same is true today. The only truth that remains the same is the central bankers are behind the economy to profit themselves. All the measuring sticks have altered, corrupted or adjusted to a fine promotional edge. Economics has become something other than science: a marketing scheme. Central bankers are working their global magic and deception on a global basis without apology and most of the world is thanking them for it.

Stagflation is an economic situation in which inflation and economic stagnation occur simultaneously and remain unchecked for a period of time. This is a combination of policy by central bankers that allow excessive growth of the money supply and an economic shock such as a excessive regulation, huge job losses, declining wages and unchecked inflationary prices. We have all of these in place and in force right now.

Continually dumping more greenbacks on the global market may have short-term global and corporate benefits. The central bankers also benefit by increasing the debt base, charging more interest for various and sundry economies and swapping cash for gold held in their vaults as collateral. The short-term effect of acute dollar liquidity on the U.S. economy is very different on all terms.

As the fires of inflation are stoked and as the national economy continues its descent into the economic abyss, the mire of stagflation only worsens, creating a national and ultimately a global dilemma if left unchecked or unmitigated. All of this affects you in very real terms. You are living part of that dilemma today.

Continued government guarantees and nationalization of business across the board makes government larger and creates a larger drain on the American taxpayer as well. In essence, you are paying to sustain the global economy, while the central bankers collect the cream at the top. You are the human capital from which all profits are milked with little reward. The problem behind all of this in a declining economy is that a declining economy cannot fund all of the bells and whistles required by endless debt creation. Ultimately, the situtation is not sustainable.

The nation is running into a wall of debt that must be addressed through some new invention of government and finance in order to keep the scheme going. That is where the nation is at today as we pay collectively through the nose for the privilege of being part of the stock and trade of global finance. The central bankers and the U.S. government have already joined forces in a quasi-governmental scheme for economic power and control as the economy is slowly drained. The men and women that we have elected have brought this to bear. That is why this election is probably more important that any other. Make the right choice.

Stagflation may not be avoidable, but it isn’t too late to save what is left of the people in this nation. We are “human capital,” worth far more than banker grist. ~ E. Manning

Originally published 9/18/08 on TNTalk!

May 7, 2008

Central Bankers Sound Alarm Over Food Prices

Soaring food prices are helping to push up inflation all around the world, say central bankers. They urge more market competition and free trade to even out prices.

Which came first: the chicken or the egg? In this case, central bankers are not admitting that high food prices are not only caused by tighter supplies but higher inflation is caused by the central bankers themselves. Central bankers, by nature are quiet animals that never point at themselves. In this instance, global inflation has been boosted by the excessive printing of money and overextension of bank credit coupled with the inflation and devaluation of the dollar, which still operates as the tour de force of the global economy.

Global rises in food, energy and other commodity prices (more…)

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