Busted: Bankers and The Global Economy

December 31, 2010

2011: A New Year for Dogs & Ponies

It’s been a great year if you haven’t looked much at the world around you, but there is always potential, especially for Wall Street leveraging and central bankers. Since I’ve retired in earnest, I sometimes shut off the news because I’d rather think about something else. Perhaps you’ve been doing this too. If so, you may not for much longer. Scuttlebutt at the G20 has it that the dollar won’t be the darling of the world much longer. So what, you say! That kind of talk has been going on for years. Apparently, the G20 finance ministers have decided that on May 4, 2011 that the dollar will no longer be the “world reserve currency.” So what you say? Even if you don’t believe it, the scenario is rather entertaining, i.e., would make a great movie. It’s a real dog and pony show.

Even now silver and gold paper is highly leveraged, much like the dollar is with the fractional reserve. There is so much leveraged paper out there that the system in place is likely to implode from the panic. There isn’t enough silver and gold bullion in the marketplace, or rather, in the storehouses. This is already heating up into a potential crisis, a run on the bank, as it were. Won’t that make gold and silver more valuable? Only if you have your gold or silver in real gold or silver. In that case, you won’t have worthless paper securities, but a real danger of having your life taken from you if anyone knows you have it. Because of this, you won’t be able to spend it either, because if you did, somebody would know you had it.

As I said, the demand for the real gold and silver will be terrific as the former world reserve currency plunges into oblivion. Either singular scenario means hyperinflation. With OPEC oil being the USA major import, the nation will shut down from lack of fuel or rather, the ability to buy it. The nation has an oil reserve, but that won’t last long the way America consumes it. Too bad we can’t leverage the oil reserve to pretend there’s more. I’m not finished yet.

The Fed has initiated Quantitative Easing (known as QE2) that spells an end to the Bretton Woods accord with the idea of replacing it with a different system. Trading partners are nervous, but they aren’t the only ones. For now, export-dependent nations recycle capital to USA markets in order to sustain demand. The Federal Reserve decided that the only way to fight deflation and high unemployment in the USA was by weakening the dollar to make USA exports more competitive. That means that the USA will be battling for the same export market as the rest of the world, which will shrink global demand for goods and services. Never mind that China’s decision to back off on the dollar would be enough to cause a dollar crisis. Never mind that the multinationals will hate this as profits plunge. Government officials will wet their pants in panic. Number of jobless Americans will go through the roof, if we had one. Wal-Mart, so dependent on China exports will close. Inventories will be short. National GDPs will shrink. Economies will contract. Ooh. It’s not pretty.

Paul Volcker recently opined: “The growing sense around much of the world is that we have lost both relative economic strength and more important, we have lost a coherent successful governing model to be emulated by the rest of the world. Instead, we’re faced with broken financial markets, underperformance of our economy and a fractious political climate…” Everyone has rode the pony too hard. Now the powers that be are preparing to run the show in a way that is untested. We aren’t sure whether the dogs can carry the weight. All those “risk-free” treasury bonds are in real danger. The whole system is bankrupt. The USA stands to lose all its status. Central bankers know this, but they already hold all the valuables, and the means for a new system.

The world doesn’t care about the USA deficit, as long as it’s used to bail out the world in some sense. 100 major cities are facing bankruptcy this year unless they get a federal bailout. Even though Great Britain opted for austerity measures, the USA doesn’t really have this for a choice because they hold the debt bag for the global standard. Central bankers have the valuables and the credit to prolong the current system as they please or not. Meanwhile, Main Street and the population is more tightly squeezed than ever. Those trained dogs are walking a tightrope, but for how long? President Obama needs to hold everything together with a grand distraction so that he will be handily re-elected. What do you think that will be? It’s sure to be glorious.

In the meantime, go ahead and shut off your TV until something better comes along. Have a party while you can. You might not have long to wait.

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November 5, 2010

USA Economy: Bernanke Gets ‘Creative’

The Federal Reserve has been mandated by Congress to reduce unemployment while holding their interest rate near zero.  They plan to buy $600 billion in Treasury securities to keep prices from falling and reduce further the long-term borrowing costs, even as 8,000 commercial banks are being locked out of the money flow that could be used to begin financial healing on Main Street.

Bernanke plans to use the tools created during the recession to pump life into the USA economy. They have been projecting that the USA economy has been expanding for 15 months, but not to their satisfaction. They want the USA economy to grow at a larger rate. The reaction of the market has caused the dollar to fall and stocks to rise, as if Wall Street is a true measure of the USA economy. The focus is on Wall Street. Main Street be damned.

Bernanke hopes that he can encourage Wall Street investors to take more risks without risking inflation or encouraging price bubbles of assets by pushing the unemployment rate, which has been above 9 percent since June 2009.

Allen Sinai, the chief global economist at Decision Economics Inc. in New York claims that the Federal Reserve is not working up to standard. He criticized that they are paid to do the job more effectively, but their work is not up to standard. The fact remains that no human institution is truly equipped to deal with the crisis. We are in new economic territory with a global currency at stake, currently propped up by Wall Street as a distraction from the truth.

To push the rate of unemployment down, the central bank wants to spur the rate of US economic growth above a 2.5 annual growth rate.

January 31, 2009

Unemployment and Government Stimulus

economic-ideaAs Digital Economy has previously noted, the heralded stimulus plan is mostly a safety net for government services, government jobs and the disadvantaged, including the recently unemployed. What is the current ‘$825 billion’ stimulus plan going to do for the recent numbers of jobless Americans?

• $43 billion for increased unemployment benefits. Weekly benefits will go up by $25 a week and the amount of time the unemployed may claim them will be extended by at least 20 weeks, plus another 13 weeks for those in high-unemployment states.

• $39 billion for expanded health care benefits for the unemployed. The federal government will reimburse states to extend Medicaid coverage for the jobless through Dec. 31, 2010. For those who want to keep their old employer’s insurance plan, the government will subsidize their Cobra payments – paying 65% up to 12 months. Cobra eligibility will be extended for some groups of workers.

• $20 billion to increase food stamp payments by 13%. For a family of four, that means an average increase of $79 a month – from $588 now to $667 if the current legislation passes.

internet-personal-businessThe largest opportunity for economic growth, especially for small business and the individual in these times, remains on the internet segment of the digital economy. In other words, Americans need to get creative and found a personal small business based on solid business principles while employing creativity. I am not referring to internet hype or ‘affiliate business’ that has become the rage and plague of the internet. The fact remains that you cannot depend on Wall Street or Main Street Corporate America for your livelihood. Counter to the intuition of business activity and the economy, the internet remains a bright spot for many, Amazon.com among them. ~ E. Manning

September 22, 2008

Robbery from American Taxpayers

bailout or pork barrel?

bailout or pork barrel?

“It is a big package because it’s a big problem,” Bush told reporters at a news conference. “The risk of doing nothing far outweighs the risk of the package.” Yet, most Americans seems to be irritated, if not entirely incensed about the prospect of bailing out wealthy bankers and insurance companies along with buying up worthless securitized bonds built by greed and corruption. Do Americans seem to care, even though authorities say that the alternative is total economic devastation? Americans do care, but realize that what the Bush Administration intends to do is not without substantial risk. Even more important are the real moral principles involved in the bailout. Moral and ethical concerns is exactly what the Bush Administration, Republicans and the Congress have been bereft of during the last two terms of office. An undercurrent of seething rage foments in the underground of American souls.

Americans have focused most of their indignation on having to foot the bill for irresponsible lenders and borrowers. The fact that little benefit to the economy or decent jobs for the American people will result from the trillion dollar bailout doesn’t make the bitter pill easier to swallow. However, the fact that Main Street America will suffer has some Americans rethinking their position.

the legacy of Bush

the legacy of Bush

What Americans fail to realize is the economic devastation that will plague America regardless of a bailout. The U.S. economy is in a king-sized pickle with a stalled economy and poor prospects. Politicians and economists alike seem to have temporarily forgotten that bailout or not, stagflation is on the way, a difficult prospect that the panicked authorities have suddenly ignored in the interest of saving their immediate power. The trillion dollar economic bailout is not a miracle, just a different road down the same mountain of decline.

A few have suggested that the bailout is not a bailout. The government is not handing out cash and have advertised that they might actually stand to make a great deal of money out of this. The bottom line is that when the bad securitized bonds gain value, that value will trickle down to the American taxpayer. The big problem is that most Americans no longer believe in the lie of “trickle-down economics,” a political theory that seems to have been fully subverted by bad business practices, corrupt politics and even more incompetent regulators while Americans follow the rules. Furthermore, money doesn’t trickle down from government except through the welfare system. This make the prospect of “trickle down” even more unlikely and unpalatable. The taxpayer does not expect to see the money, but knows that the government will continue to spend with wild abandon. The national rage is palpable as American taxpayers are made to bail out the world. ~ E. Manning

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